All of the prospects below also appear on The Board, a resource the site offers featuring sortable scouting information for every organization. Youve probably been battered with this question over the past couple months, but any chance the team lists will start rolling out next week? The beginning of Major League Baseball's 2020-21 international signing period was pushed back from July 2 to Jan. 15 following the ramifications of the coronavirus pandemic. Here is a look at which players from MLB Pipeline's Top 50 International Prospects list have agreed to terms with clubs, according to sources, and for how much. Of the teenage hitters on the list, Zavalas feel to hit is probably the most polished. Pro pitchers attacked him with lots of back-foot breaking balls in Colliers brief ACL and instructs run, and while he spotted lots of them and hammered a few that didnt finish, he struggled to touch any that were even close to well-executed. According to a source, testimony in that case was heard last week, and we may soon learn more about its outcome and subsequent fallout. Hes only been able to pull breaking balls that dont quite finish. He has performed well through the lower minors (.271/.368/.438), and his frame, speed, general athleticism, and long-term frame-based power projection are all very enticing from a scouting standpoint, but the limitations of his current swing still make Veens big league impact more of an abstract projection than an inevitability. He has very little experience at second and looked okay making routine plays there during the few reps he got in 2022, but its tough to project him there full-time based on how his range, hands, and actions look at third. In fact, his dastardly mid-80s splitter, which falls off the table and finishes below the strike zone, is easily his best offering, garnering twice as many swings and misses as his fastball in 2022, and about as many whiffs as the rest of his many pitches combined. Cavalli climbed the ranks of the Nationals system in 2021, starting the season at High-A and closing it out at Triple-A, claiming the distinction of being the hardest thrower at that years Futures game (touching 102 mph) along the way. The Top 300 is here. His peak exit velocities are absurd for a teenager, and while his breaking ball recognition and overall plate discipline are both crude, his in-zone feel for contact is also very promising. He projects as a contact-oriented everyday shortstop, though one scouting director we spoke with for this list still wants to see what hed look like on the mound. He primarily pairs the heater with a shapely low-80s slider and gets most of his swing-and-miss in the zone with both offerings. What you have it what you can spend. But Browns fastball has the sort of action that gives pitchers margin for error in the strike zone, and his stuff is so nasty that he can be imprecise and still beat hitters. It plays as an above-average offering even though Allens raw arm strength is comfortably below average. No more. His range and actions at third base are both fantastic, and hes an accurate thrower from all sorts of awkward platforms, but there are times when he lollipops deeper (and even some routine) throws over to first base. -- $750,000, RaysWilian Trinidad, INF, D.R. Though hes of relatively narrow build, Bleis still oozes projection, and his present footspeed gives him room to fill out and slow down some while remaining in center field. He has some vulnerability to high fastballs and tends to do most of his extra-base damage against middle-middle mistakes, but Steer is capable of making line drive contact in basically all parts of the strike zone, and is especially adept at poking outer-third pitches the opposite way for base hits. Hes performed as a young-for-the-level hitter at each stop despite a raw approach at the plate and uncertainty around his defense, with his third base fit in question due to middling arm strength. This wasnt a gradual increase, either it happened all at once in 2019. Here are the bonus pools for the 2022 international signing period, according to MLB.com's Jesse Sanchez: The Blue Jays (George Springer) and Dodgers (Trevor Bauer) each forfeited $500,000 in international bonus pool money to sign a qualified free agent last offseason. The top-ranked prospect in the 2021 draft, Mayer dropped to fourth overall, where the Red Sox were happy to scoop him up and sign him for a higher dollar amount than first overall pick Henry Davis. He takes a little while to get his legs churning, but once hes moving, hes a plus runner and has generated some home-to-first times in the neighborhood of 4.1-4.2 seconds. He rounds out his four-pitch mix with a mid-70s curveball that he threw just 6% of the time at Triple-A, but which accounted for 19% of his 0-0 offerings in his seven big-league starts, outranked in usage only by his fastball. His swing is a little odd and upright, and his hands load with a bit of a hitch, but he is still able to guide the barrel around the zone and produce shocking raw power for such a lithe teenage hitter. He has special hand-eye coordination and bat-to-ball skill, as well as a tremendous idea of the strike zone. They recap top prospects who performed well at MLB's Desert Invitational in Arizona, including Tennessee right-hander Chase Dollander and Grand Canyon shortstop Jacob Wilson, and other stars who got off to strong starts, such as LSU righty Paul Skenes. He tends to work contact to center and right field, especially against fastballs, and he has a clear two-strike approach where he ditches his leg kick and takes a more conservative swing. His stuff was down in 2022 but is still good, and Rodriguez should be a mid-rotation stalwart in short order. He has a surprisingly authoritative left-handed cut for a player of his stature and shows you lovely all-fields ability to hit, snatching hanging breaking balls and inner-third fastballs to his pull side and spraying lots of middle-away fastballs to the opposite field. Though he lacked present power and typical frame-based power projection, there was enthusiasm surrounding Frelicks catalytic offensive qualities. Brailer Guerrero, OF, D.R. If you do not allow these cookies, you will experience less targeted advertising. A core scouting rule of thumb is to take the long view with catchers who have impact offensive potential. That was not the case on defense, however. . The 2022 MLB Draft will be held between July 17-19, 2022. He goes out of his way to try to throw while hes on the run, and he rarely makes anything look easy the way big league shortstops tend to, so we have him projected at second base. Salas is expected to command close to $5 million next January. Teams will sometimes renege on their agreements if they think the player has regressed, or if one of their other commitments has progressed enough that the team feels compelled to up their offer to prevent another club from swooping in with more money late in process, closer to signing day. His throws are accurate and effortless, and he's always in a position to make the throws. MLB has pushed for an international draft for decades and could get one as part of the upcoming collective bargaining agreement. All of his swings components fire in a short period of time, which can be jarring to watch, but Mayo has been smoking liners and hitting huge pull-side homers with this swing since he was a high school underclassman. This website is not directly or indirectly affiliated, associated, or connected in any way to Major League Baseball, the National Basketball Association, the National Football League or the National Hockey League. He had his second straight fair offensive season as a pro, as he produced a 95 wRC+ at High-A, mostly thanks to his ability to put balls in play. Welbyn Francisca, SS, D.R. Of the 71 extra-base hits Synergy Sports has on tape from Jungs time at Tech, 51 were to center or right field. At the plate, he exhibits above-average bat-to-ball skills and strike zone awareness. He rarely chases and spoils lots of well-executed pitches, grinding away at opposing pitchers. FantraxHQ - The Home of Fantasy Sports Analysis. He must turn 16 before he signs and be 17 before Sept. 1 the following year -- in practical terms, that means players born between Sept. 1, 2005, and Aug. 31, 2006, will be eligible to sign in the upcoming signing period. His hands load in a pretty typical spot that keeps him short back to the baseball, and he doesnt swing and miss a ton. Jameson reached the majors in 2022 and is ready for prime time. He had among the highest average exit velocities in college baseball at a whopping 98 mph, though that came with what would constitute 40-grade peak exit velocities, around 105 mph (and with a BBCOR bat major league players average is 110 mph with wood). Merrill is Michael Brantley, except at shortstop. Hes actually a fairly rangy third baseman, as his foot speed allows him to cover a lot of ground, but his hands and arm accuracy are both pretty rough and cause him to be error-prone. Having made noticeable adjustments to his swing, including a lower load and a more compact back elbow, the center fielder has proven capable of tapping into in-game power previously missing from his offensive profile. He shows good throwing mechanics and a strong arm. Green struck out in a third of his varsity at-bats in 2021, and swung and missed more than he put balls in play during that years summer/fall showcase circuit before things improved during his senior year of high school. Unless otherwise noted, clubs have not confirmed the deals. To an extent, each of those things is still true. Flores will also show you an upper-80s cutter, which has more inconsistent shape but gives him a third viable weapon. Neither his slider nor changeup is fully baked quite yet, but if either (or both) become viable, they would bring with them a higher probability that Priester slots in as a mid-rotation starter. That caveat extends to his defense, where Luciano continues to look miscast as a shortstop. Eders delivery has changed since college. He was back in 2022 long enough to make his major league debut, but re-tore his ACL in late May and will be out until later this summer. After he made just five starts at High-A toward the end of his breakout 2021 campaign, last season the Marlins sent the 6-foot-9, 19-year-old Prez to Double-A Pensacola, where he was an absolute buzzsaw. Mauricio has developed as well as could have been rationally hoped when he signed. Cavalli has a huge arm and a good changeup, but also carries a considerable amount of relief risk due to past injury and his violent delivery. And while some of my sources think the league and the PA could come together on a draft format before the next CBA is ratified, there is doubt that it will happen soon enough for it to change the way the 2024 class signs. For instance, Marte isnt easy to beat in the strike zone. Here Berry projects as a DH. So far that looks to have been the correct assessment, as Williams hit 19 homers, tallied 51 extra-base hits, stole 28 bases and solidified shortstop as his future defensive home during his 2022 foray into full-season ball. Prospect Headlines Volpe's 1st spring HR a sign of things to come March 2, 2023 Flexing: Each team's top power-hitting prospect March 2, 2023 Waino unconcerned about velo dip as focus shifts to Classic March 2, 2023 'That kid is a stud': Lee has Twins gushing March 2, 2023 Healthy G-Rod back on MLB's doorstep March 2, 2023 'Who are you?' 2022-23 Southeast Standings. There arent many lefty-hitting shortstops with this kind of offensive juice. Hundreds of international prospects are taking the next step in their development when they sign with big league clubs and there will be hundreds more who will follow them until the middle of December. Allen was an undersized, pitchability high school lefty who worked 88-92 mph with mostly average secondary stuff and a changeup that flashed plus. Hes so long that this may be exposed as an issue as the level of velocity Wood sees increases. A rookie more than he is a prospect, Sengas splitter and fastball velocity fit in the middle of a contenders rotation. He still needs to find a position, though. Some of Lawlars offensive performance has been inflated by his home parks hitting environments, especially Low-A Visalia and Double-A Amarillo. Leiter was wild in his first full season, but we dont want to come off him too severely since he has looked like a solid fourth starter basically every other year hes been on the prospect radar. Simon Juan, OF, Dominican Republic Mets ($1,900,000) More 17. Acua slashed .317/.417/.483 at High-A before finishing the season at Double-A, where his numbers deflated across the board, though that did include his strikeout rate, which he brought down to 21% at the more advanced level. Drafted in 2018, his trajectory has been riddled with development-delaying injury, and 2022 was seen as the year he would hopefully put it all together. Baseball America (@BaseballAmerica) January 15, 2022. 10) and Yankees shortstop Oswald Peraza (No. We are still in a holding pattern with Veen because the length of his swing continues to make it very difficult for him to turn on fastballs. He has one of the more picturesque swings in the minors and is extremely difficult to make whiff inside the strike zone. This is where we value a contending teams plug-and-play third or fourth starter. Framber Valdezoriginally signed for $10,000 in 2015, for example. Look under the hood and there is cause for concern. Young stars like Fernando Tatis Jr, Juan Soto, Vladimir Guerrero Jr, Ronald Acuna, Yordan Alvarez, Wander Franco, Julio Rodriguez, and many more started as relatively obscure teenagers. We know so much more about the high school and college players. : Tigers+ ($1,250,000) More 33. The Rays stole Mead from the Phillies in what seemed like a relatively innocuous trade at the time, a swap that sent a low-level developmental sleeper (Mead) to Tampa for depth starter Cristopher Snchez. He shares many similarities with Eduardo Escobar. He sports ridiculous all-fields power from the left side of the plate, floats from base to base with huge, graceful strides, can clock home-to-first times close to 4.00 seconds, and still has room for much, much more mass on his frame before it detracts from his mobility enough to push him off shortstop. But from June on, he was markedly more effective, boosting that K-rate to just shy of 30%, while bringing his walk rate down. He has also seen a lot of time at first base and, more recently, a little bit in the outfield corners. Something is comforting about knowing you have a group of players you can go to when the player pool thins out. Hes a little more tightly wound than is typical for a big league shortstop, but Hendersons straight-line speed is plus and so is his defensive range, and his arm strength enables him to make some plays that many other infielders cant. Top 125 Starting Pitcher Rankings for 2023 Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Baseball Dynasty League Strategy for 2023, NL Spring Training Battles with Fantasy Relevance, 2022 FantraxHQ Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit, Compete for Cash Prizes in a Fantrax Classic Draft Contest, Get ready for the season with a mock draft on Fantrax.com, Create your own league or join an existing league with Fantrax Commissioner. His curveball has 12-6 shape and plus depth and power, used as a way of garnering called, early-count strikes, and the speed with which he has developed two distinct breaking balls despite pitching just one full minor league season is incredible. He made six appearances with the big league squad (four of them starts) for a total of 33 innings and lasted at least five frames in all but one of them (his only shorter appearance was in relief, and he pitched the final 3.2 innings of the game). Players have little to no recourse when this happens, though that might change depending on the outcome of a recently-filed lawsuit in the Dominican Republic. Naylor is a power-hitting catcher who should grab hold of the everyday job in Cleveland within a year or two. Keith added 30 pounds of bulk between when he was drafted and now, and he weighed in at 245 pounds when he showed up in Arizona for the 2022 Fall League. His amateur look was that of a slash-and-dash leadoff man with doubles power and a great idea of the strike zone. Jeter Martinez, RHP, Mex. Allen sat 88-90 again as a junior and then, like many Cleveland pitching prospects, enjoyed a two-tick bump pretty quickly, sitting 90-93 throughout his first full season in pro ball, a velocity he maintained across 110 innings, many more than he had thrown during the pandemic-shortened year. He hit .337/.453/.601 as a teenager in the Cal League before the Padres traded him to Washington as part of the Juan Soto blockbuster, after which he hit .293/.366/.463. The Angels, Phillies and Red Sox each forfeited $500,000 from their pools for signing players who had rejected qualifying offers -- Noah Syndergaard, Nick Castellanos and Trevor Story, respectively -- last offseason, so each has a pool of $4,644,000 . Derniche Valdez, SS, D.R. Unlike the draft, a team can't exceed its international bonus pool and pay a tax. Hes hit 57 home runs combined the last two years while running sub-30% groundball rates and average launch angles in the 22-25 degree range, both of which are extreme by big league standards. You can really see his athleticism and remarkable hip/shoulder separation on his throws down to second. Diaz has plus, all-fields power and covers the outer third of the plate especially well. Across parts of five MLB seasons, Soto has a slash line of .287/.424/.526 (157 OPS+), and he's averaged 33 home runs and 133 walks per 162 games played. He sometimes struggles with arm accuracy from third base and has sub-par range at second, but his footwork, hands, and actions keep him afloat at each spot. His trademark breaking ball, which has plus-plus spin and flashes huge depth, tends to finish in the strike zone and isnt yet a consistent putaway pitch. But its shape, while deep, is a less-than-ideal pairing with his fastball. Williams has hit tool risk, but his power and shortstop defense make him a potential star. He ran an 83% Z-contact rate in 2022, which again, is right on the precipice of viability, as chase-prone, low-OBP hitters like Ozzie Albies and Jonathan Schoop have shown. Firm, upper-80s changeups and sliders dart in different directions, and are thrown with 100 mph-looking effort. With the turn of the calendar to 2022, so begins the MLB International signing period. We gravitate toward up-the-middle defenders littered all throughout the minor leagues, and really only tend to push corner bats onto the list when theyre close to the big leagues, or if we have an abnormal degree of confidence that they will continue to hit all the way through the minors. The Dodgers and Rangers each forfeited $1,000,000 from their pools for signing players who had rejected qualifying offers to lower their pool to $4,144,000. -- $700,000Angelo Hernandez, C, Ven. He does not take casual BP hacks he maxes out and swings with all-out effort, which extends to his in-game approach, a feature that gives some scouts pause and worry that big league pitchers will pull the rug out from under him. Now his son, Georgia center fielder Druw Jones, is one of the top overall . The components of Hernandezs swing push and pull against one another, as his cut is pretty long but he also has very advanced barrel control. Because Carroll runs such deep counts, his strikeout rates have been higher than one might expect given his reputation as a plus contact hitter. Painter overpowered low-level hitters with sheer velocity and breaking ball quality during the majority of his first full pro season. Right now, hes notching six outs every five days or so, a number the org would surely like to see increase as he ramps up his innings. He throws two plus secondaries a mid-80s changeup and a low-80s slider, each with good movement and high whiff-rates and hes shown the ability to locate each of his offerings, boasting strikeout rates over 34% at all three minor league levels. SS Dylan Jorge, Cuba: At 18, Jorge is one of the oldest players available this signing period, but he's an exciting prospect thanks to a good righty bat and strong defensive chops. Williams was a two-way high school player who was talented enough to be considered a prospect as both a shortstop and a pitcher. Bibee now looks like a polished mid-rotation prospect. 4:35 pm ET. His internal clock is precise and allows him to make fundamentally uncompromised throws to first with confidence because he knows hes going to beat the runner there. He left Arizona with top-five pick buzz and ultimately went first overall to Baltimore. He is a fringe receiver and ball-blocker with a 45 arm. Top 20 Prospects by Team. Freili Encarnacion, SS, Dominican Republic Red Sox ($1,100,000) More 20. The floor for Ortiz looks something like Isiah Kiner-Falefa, a slick-fielding utilityman with plus bat-to-ball ability, but not enough power to be a true everyday option, essentially a 45-grade player. Whichever lucky team gets that selection will be getting a player with plus tools across the board. Meet the top international prospects expected to sign when the period commences in January: 1. He has an ideal pitchers frame, his gorgeous delivery generated mid-90s velocity with huge riding life at the top of the zone, his changeup is one of the better amateur changeups most scouts have ever seen, and before his elbow blew out during his draft spring, his curveball looked like it had gotten better. A decade ago, players with no professional experience were not considered viable draft picks, even in most deeper settings. Daiverson Gutierrez, C, D.R. Leiter is too powerful an on-mound athlete not to have an impact fastball, though he does need to sharpen his control. Oscar Colas, OF, Cuba White Sox ($2,700,000) More 6. He slid within this FV tier but his grade didnt change, and hes still a pretty good bet to be a no. Carter has put up video game numbers in the mid-minors but his visual scouting report doesnt really jive with his surface-level output. Most of Rafaelas underlying contact and power data is middling, and his peak exit velos arent what youd typically expect from a 20-homer threat, except he does seem to hit the ball fairly hard and in the air very frequently relative to his peak exits. Whether or not Cartaya does this depends on the pitch hes called, and sometimes hell start from a crouch and drop to a knee as the pitch is in mid-flight. 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 - Sort by Team - ARI ATL BAL BOS CHC CHW CIN CLE COL DET HOU KC LAA LAD MIA MIL MIN NYM NYY OAK PHI PIT SD SF SEA STL TB TEX TOR WSH Synergy Sports has film of Collier seeing about 1,300 pitches since 2020, a gigantic sample for a teenage prospect. Below we have the signing agreements for all 30 clubs, with more to. Manzardo hasnt hit a single speed bump in pro ball and moved into the Top 100 during the middle of 2022 on the strength of his statistical performance and visual feel to hit. 2022 Onyx Vintage Extended Series Baseball Box, Don't miss all the Hot Prospects, phenoms, international prospects and big leaguers with this years edition of Onyx Vintage Extended Trading Cards. Ricardo Cabrera, SS, Venezuela Reds More 4. He has reached Triple-A Norfolk while accumulating a career .271/.349/.425 line in the minors, generating plus underlying contact data in 2022 (an 89% Z-contact%, which would be top 10 among major league shortstops) in the process. Graceffos velocity has exploded since he left the Main Line, and hes now nearing the big leagues as a contenders fourth starter. His arm strength (a 70 on the scale two winters ago) was not as consistent in recent looks but is still strong. There are some players who are as aggressive as Mauricio (or more so) who find a way to be impact players anyway and almost all of them tend to make enough in-zone contact to buoy their overall offensive output. Things arent so bad that hes in a red flag bust risk area because of his hit tool, but its enough that it will probably dial down how much in-game power hes actually getting to. Its part of why hes projected with a below-average hit tool here even though hes performed at an above-average clip in the minors. By virtue of this precision, he might have peak years with 20 homers or so, very similar to Brantley. He finished that season with a 10-game A-ball stint, where he struck out in 16 of his 42 plate appearances. Maybe even a Cy Young winner or an MVP. Those teams will then triage prospects later in the process and nix whichever verbal deals they see as the least favorable. His mid-80s slider was his go-to secondary, but his command was spotty throughout the season, to the tune of a 5.44 BB/9 over the course of his 92.2 innings. Arias, a 17-year-old native of the Dominican Republic, is the top-ranked international prospect of 2022 by MLB Pipeline and agreed to a $4 million deal with New York, MLB.com reported. Ramos footwork around the bag needs polish, and his frame is big enough that his range might eventually be an issue there depending on how he fills out, but in limited action Ramos looks fine enough to justify continued development at the keystone. His 39.8% strikeout rate was the highest in the minors among qualified pitchers last year, and he fanned 186 batters in just 113 innings. During his 2022 spring break, Holliday came to Arizona to work out and take BP with his high school team at some of the big league teams complexes, and he (and his younger brother, Ethan) put balls out of backfields into the teeth of the wind with ease. Keith may not have a position, but he has a pretty stable hit/power combination that will profile at third if he can actually stay there. Before the 2022 draft there was again buzz that some teams were off Lee because of his medical, and also that Lee and his family preferred that he stay as close to home as possible by joining a team that trains in Arizona. Hes now a bounce back prospect. His arm angle makes it naturally tough on lefties but its utility is limited against righties, which is likely what caused Cleveland and Allen to work on a cutter that is still in the nascent stages of development. Many scouts are champing at the bit over Priesters prototypical frame and four- or five-pitch mix, depending on whether you consider his fastballs two distinct pitches. Theres still risk Rafaela walks the Cristian Pache path, as his issues are similar to the ones that have apparently undone the young Athletic, but more likely hes akin to Kevin Pillar, and there are scouts who think Rafaelas frame will continue to add strength such that he hits for more power than Pillar was able to. Collier has stand-out raw strength and generates it across a very short mechanical distance, capable of driving thunderous contact to center and left/center with a flick of his wrists. Hes still risky as a prospect but has big upside. It is the open of the 2022 international signing period, one of two ways MLB teams can acquire amateur talent each year. De La Cruz has the most exciting combination of tools and defensive fit in the minors, a switch-hitter with plus-plus power, speed, arm strength, and all-around athleticism, as well as a somewhat more consistent look at shortstop than he had a year ago, even at 6-foot-5. Jones combination of present baseball ability and physical projection were unmatched in the 2022 draft class. Indeed, his arm will certainly keep him at shortstop, as he demonstrated when he seized the spotlight at the 2022 Futures Game by recording the fastest ever throw across the infield since such measurements have existed, at 100.5 mph. He doesnt have a huge frame, but his lack of room for mass arguably makes it more likely that he stays at short since hes unlikely to outgrow it. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 7:42 AM ET, Park Factors And Chourio has that kind of power. window.FGWebsite_head_section.buildProspectsListTop100Controls(); -- $405,000Manuel Genao, RHP, D.R. : Rockies ($1,700,000) More 25. He then spent all of 2022 at Double-A and punched out 33.1%, while trimming his walk rate down to just 7.5%. He barely ever chases and sprays hard line drives and fly balls everywhere, covering all but the very up-and-in corner of the plate, where he tends to get jammed. He worked in the 89-93 mph range as a high schooler, then exploded in college, hitting 100 mph as a freshman and sustaining upper-90s velocity when he finally moved to the rotation as a fourth-year junior in 2021. The swing changes that helped enable his breakout created a bat path built to lift the ball to the extreme, and Volpes average launch angle was a whopping 24 degrees last year. Its tough to account for what sort of long-term impact Lees injury history will have on his defense, and Carlos Correas presence is also a factor, but in a vacuum he projects as an above-average everyday shortstop. The bumps and bruises suffered from catching can sometimes level players for whole seasons, and Davis had a lot of them in 2022. Amador is one of those short-levered switch hitters who is so short to the ball that he gets an extra beat to diagnose pitches before he has to commit to swinging, and he takes advantage of this. *The forfeited monies are redistributed to the other clubs. Cristhian Vaquero, OF, Cuba Nationals ($4,925,000) More 3. His ceiling is as lofty as he is. Some pre-draft medical question marks precipitated his fall to Minnesota. His mid-90s fastball missed bats up in the zone and above it, and he commanded all three secondaries, with above-average spin across the board. They are older, and we have more data points to evaluate. There are aspects of his swing that are very exciting and consistent with great big league hitters (his raw power and bat speed are uncommon for a shortstop, while his bent-at-the-waist hitting posture is akin to Mike Trouts and Dylan Crews), but his bat path is fairly grooved, and here the projection is that when the cement dries on Lawlars hit tool, it will be a little south of average.
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