However, Williams situation in Denver isnt as bad as it seems. Okay, fine, he's an undersized prospect who would need to follow a Dion Lewis-like path to fantasy relevancy, but he has legitimate speed and agility, and these third- and fourth-round rookie picks are all dart throws. All Rights Reserved. This round saw some new arrivals to the draft boardplayers who were undrafted in March but whose NFL Draft destinations buoyed their values into third-round territory. Born to be an NFL slot receiver.". As we head toward the end of the second round, the floor gets a little lower on some of these wide receiver prospects, but that doesn't mean you can't strike gold here. It's looking more and more like the first three picks in the 2021 NFL will be quarterbacks. All but one of the running backs in this final round paid the price of having either low NFL Draft capital or none at all, and almost no one in the draft-projecting community expected the odd man out, Kene Nwangwu, to be drafted anywhere near the fourth round. 1.12) J. Waddle WR MIA, Round 2 Pat: "Amazing how good the first round is this year, isnt it? The one great thing about Superflex leagues is that it pushes down players who should be drafted earlier because of the quarterback bumpin this case, a top-five asset in Moore fell to me at 13th overall, while I was able to snatch up a top-15 asset in Brown at the 25th overall draft slot.". Moore played in only four games in 2019 due to injury and then opted out of the 2020 season before opting back in to play in Weeks 5-7, but he's done enough to cement his status as one of the top receivers in this class. Casey: "I was really hoping Rondale Moore would have slipped one more spot, but Terrace Marshall is a nice consolation prize. 12 in the NFL Draft, DeVonta Smith slipped a bit further than most expected. Given the disparity in how this years crop looks relative to Superflex and Non-Superflex leagues, we will be putting out two different early Rookie Mock Drafts for you. No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. Jones has a massive chip on his shoulder after hearing for the last month-plus he would be the No. 5.03) K. Hill RB GB 2021 dynasty fantasy football rankings, organized by tiers and positions, with notes on player values. 4for4 Staff. Fourth-round picks are absolute fliers and Hawkins is one Im totally fine gambling on. 2. Batemen is a precise route runner with prototypical size who could realistically outperform many of the receivers drafted before him in this class. Brevin Jordan drops from pre-draft 2.03 to post-draft 3.08. DeVonta Smith is another prospect who is slightly dinged for his size at 6-foot-1 and 174 pounds, but his production simply cannot be ignored. I really like Sage Surratt, and wasn't shy about it in a recent 4for4 dynasty round table, so I like Danny's selection here. Schwartz is likely the fastest wide receiver in this entire class and has tremendous upside with the Browns at just 20 years old. With some work, Smiths ceiling could be something attuned to a Cole Beasley.". Justin: "As a developmental slot receiver, Shi Smith is someone you would want to be keeping on your taxi squad for a year or two, without a ton of roads that lead to immediate fantasy production. All Harris did in 2019 was command the majority of Alabama's rushing attempts and explode for 1,224 yards and 20 touchdowns. Travis Etienne did not move from his March draft spot to his May draft spot, which speaks to both how highly he has been regarded throughout this rookie evaluation process as well as dynasty drafters' comfort with his landing spot in Jacksonville. However, it is hard to ignore the upside of Etienne here. This means Javian Hawkins will destroy all expectations and will be an immediate RB1. Matt: "This is tremendous value for the sticky-handed speedster out of Alabama. Andrew: "Herbert probably wont be much of a pass-catching threat in the NFL, but he's a legit athlete with speed likely to test out in the low-4.4s, and after a 2020 season at Virginia Tech in which he rushed for 1,182 yards and eight touchdowns, he's an easy target here. That, combined with a likely first-round NFL Draft selection, will be more than enough to justify his selection here.". Aaron: "Penn State was awful this year so Pat Freiermuth didnt get to do a ton, scoring just once on the season. I Decided to take who many believe to be the best RB in this draft. He could see meaningful touches in relief of Davis as soon as this season. The code is below their ADP graph there. However, Smith-Marsettes true fantasy value lies in his potential to replace Adam Thielen as the team's WR2 in 2023 or 2024. Dynasty Superflex Rookie Draft Targets (2021 Fantasy Football) by Geoff Lambert | @geofflambert77 May 18, 2021 This piece is part of our article program that features quality content from. 3.02) K. Toney WR NYG Since 2017, they have been bottom five in nearly all rushing statistics. Sal: "Im going to group these two picks together. 2.09) A. St. Brown WR DET Pat: "He had 1,491 receiving yards and 12 TD catches as a 19-year-old sophomore at Oklahoma State. Najee Harris stepped into an Alabama backfield as a freshman in 2018 behind Damien Harris and Josh Jacobs, yet still managed to command 121 wildly-efficient touches. This is an extra-difficult decision before the NFL Draft gives us landing spots for the quarterback prospects, and I can't fault either Paul's pick here or George's immediately following. That being said, Chase's 2019 season was one for the history books, as he set the record for a single-season in the SEC with 1,780 receiving yards and 20 touchdowns. Fields QB CHI That means that many of you are actively wondering what to do with this years rookie class. Zach Wilson captivated the NFL with his play at BYU and secured his No. Carter's physical play belies his short stature (says the guy who considers himself above-average in height at 5-foot-10). Lance may not start immediately with Jimmy Garoppolo still in San Francisco, but there's no quarterback in this class with more Konami-code upside than Lance, and the receiving arsenal at his disposal that includes Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, and George Kittle is superb. 4for4 Fantasy Football. Michael Carter has stronger college metrics and a clearer pathway to volume, but will operate in an offense that is more of an unknown with a rookie quarterback and an offensive line that struggled in 2020. His versatility could make him a very valuable fantasy asset in the right scheme.". The drafters supplied me with insight into their picks, and I've included my own thoughts on picks and the mock draft overall. But how will the team fair around him? Missouri Height Weight 40-Time DOB NFL Draft Dynasty ADP NFL Comp 5-8 197 4.45 02/07/2000 Round 4-5 4th Round Ito Smith College Production Originally from New Orleans, Badie was a sprinter in Maryland before relocating again to . Book QB NO 1.06) N. Harris RB PIT The average value of their draft position is taken over a range of many drafts. If you're going to draft a rookie tight end not named Kyle Pitts, you could do a whole lot worse than Hunter Long out of Boston College. Data from 2551 fantasy football mock drafts between May 25, 2016 and September 2, 2016. The Louisiana product is fast, has a solid build, showed solid receiving ability at the Senior Bowl, and his one-cut style fits the Kyle Shanahan scheme. Quarterbacks are the most valuable position in this league, and any time you can select a starting QB, you have to do it. Quarterbacks are the most valuable position in this league, and any time you can select a starting QB, you have to do it. Sal: "This was a wild card pick, honestly. Trevor Lawrence is the first overall section in this 2021 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft and has been for quite some time. 2021 Rookie Draft ADP c/o Chalk LeaguesThese rookie drafts were held in Dynasty Superflex PPR leagues with 1.5 PPR for tight ends.Last Updated: May 24, 2021!function(){"use strict";window. Feels like he should be a first-round pick and will likely be there for someone in the second.. 1.10) D. Smith WR PHI Aaron: "The hype has died down a bit with Kenneth Gainwell, but at the 2.04, Im happy to gamble on his upside. 1.01) T. Lawrence QB JAX Fields is a great pick here in Superflex rookie draftsand a steal if he falls past the 1.02. Heading into the NFL Draft, it was a coin flip between Travis Etienne and Javonte Williams. George: "Lance has all the tools but drafters will need to be patient as he refines as a quarterback. Top-12 rookies will be 1st round picks. Selected at pick No. 5.01) T. Terry WR SEA Thanks again for the response. San Francisco left tackle Trent Williams, one of the best in the league at his position, recently signed a six-year extension. Mills joins Kellen Mond as the Superflex upside plays in this range, with Mond having a more difficult path to 2021 usage with Kirk Cousins ahead of him in Minnesota. 8) DeVonta Smith (WR2 Philadelphia Eagles). Holding off at the position in the second round meant reaching a little bit here. The need for quarterbacks in a Superflex league plays a sizeable role in players like this lasting this long, but it's the embarrassment of riches at the position that has Waddle as the fifth wide receiver selected more than anything. Hes my WR1 in this 2021 class, and it isnt close. Williams has compact size at (5-foot-10, 220 pounds) and preternatural balance. You probably won't want to draft from this. From 1.01 to the end of the fourth round, we will begin things in the same way the 2021 NFL Draft began. While most fantasy managers are going with Chase right now, Pitts positional value makes him the better pick. He then finished his college career in 2020 with 1,528 combined rushing/receiving yards, alongside 20 touchdowns, all while maintaining over 5.8 yards per attempt. Dyami Brown in the third is highway robbery by Sal. Note: This data is archived from 2016. More info. 1.01 - Trevor Lawrence - QB1. In what seemed like a whirlwind 72 hours, the 2021 NFL Draft is now behind us. Pro Football Network strives to passionately deliver purposeful, captivating, and exceptional football content. Aaron: "With the two top quarterbacks off the board, Im very happy grabbing Ja'Marr Chase with the fourth overall pick. Choosing weapons over protection, they selected. Although now that I think about it, maybe thats a good thing? It's part of the one-of-a-kind Premium Membership! If I had a do-over, I would probably go with Elijah Moore or Michael Carter here. The wide receivers here are worthy dart-throws for various reasons. Hes one of the safer options at the tight end positionand in this rookie class.". My team is [] 5.05) I. Smith-Marsette WR MIN He should test as a wildly fast receiver who will need to overcome an extremely low-percentile likelihood to succeed at his size in the NFL. But given the format, we see it deviate. I prefer to take a shot on someone like that this late in a rookie draft. 2021 NFL Draft Big Board View Available Players Brown and new free-Agent arrival Josh Reynolds (Chester Rogers, Cameron Batson, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Marcus Johnson and Cody Hollister do not represent an impregnable wall for a rookie to climb over). He runs very tough for his size and has very nice speed, which may cause his stock to rise a bit. A couple of months have passed since I recapped a pre-NFL Draft Superflex dynasty rookie mock draft. He started writing for 4for4 before the 2019 season, and he's primarily focused on best-ball, redraft, and dynasty fantasy leagues. Kyle Pitts is Underrated: Since 2021, seven different WRs have finished as the WR1 in PPR scoring, but only three different TEs have finished as TE1. I have the 1.02 pick in this 5-round rookie draft. It's potentially dangerous to fade an outlier in the size category with this much talent and production against SEC opponents. 2. Just look at any standard PPR ADP list and limit it to rookies. 5.08) I. 5.11) J. Harris TE LAR Casey: "I like his size and ball skills, I worry a little about his issues creating separation against NFL corners, but his upside made this pick in the fourth a no-brainer.". Jefferson's upside may be somewhat dependent on landing with an NFL team that has a shallow depth chart at the position and runs a zone-blocking scheme that complements his strengths, but he does have a path to vastly outperform this mid-second-round draft pick. Backup QBs Have Value in Superflex: Be prepared for your Superflex opponents to invest real fantasy assets in passers who are backups on their own teams. That combined with the physicality and power displayed by this human Mack truck contributed to Williams being one of the most elusive runners in this class. Participants for this mock: George Kritikos, Salvatore Stefanile, Chris Allen, Brandon Niles, Justin Edwards, and myself representing 4for4, plus dynasty analysts/friends/brethren Pat Fitzmaurice, Matt Hicks, Aaron Schill, Danny Mackey, Paul Williams and Casey McGrath. Just do it.". 3.08) T. Atwell WR LAR 3.12) B. Jordan TE HOU, Round 4 Rookie ADP is the Average Draft Position for players in fantasy football rookie drafts. Allmendinger Has Work To Do Sunday At Vegas. Despite the lack of speed and use in the passing game, hes a player Im happy to grab in the third round, with hopes he can carve out a role in the NFL.". 3.07) J. Palmer WR LAC 2022 Dynasty Rookie Rankings KTC's dynasty fantasy football rankings crowdsource the current market value of players and picks from 8185791 data points (and counting) provided by users like you. Thanks! Justin: "At this point in the draft I tend to lean towards running backs if Im in a tiebreaker situation between positions. 33.6. While Gordon could share touches early on, the Broncos showed commitment when they traded ahead of the Miami Dolphins to get Williams. Wise words from this Andrew guy. Hunter Long might end up as my most-drafted tight end in dynasty in 2021. We would appreciate your support by either turning off your adblocker or signing up for our ad-free subscription tier.Thanks for being a reader! Ihmir Smith-Marsette because he remains an interesting prospect who played college ball for an Iowa team with Spencer Petras at quarterback and because he was the only wide receiver drafted by the Vikings (though they did have UDFA additions that included Whop Philyor, who I want to succeed because his name is the 1.01 of this class). ADP Sources: Justin: "As we've seen over the last few years, having an upper-echelon tight end is a huge difference-maker. If you play in fantasy leagues that start only one quarterback at a time (Non-Superflex), the 2021 rookie class will be admittedly top-heavy. 3.12. They're all strong second-round targets. Shawn Siegele profiles three intriguing 2023 rookie prospects who could emerge as league-winning selections for drafters who don't have an early first-round pick. 1.04) Z. Wilson QB NYJ 3.05) R. Stevenson RB NE I certainly can't fault their selections here, as there's a very low percentage chance that any of the prospects selected in the fourth round of a rookie draft will have starting value on your dynasty squad. 4.12) Q. Morris TE BUF, Round 5 2021 Dynasty Superflex Rookie Mock Draft | First Round, In what seemed like a whirlwind 72 hours, the 2021 NFL Draft is now behind us. Demetric Felton has the ability to excel as a receiver out of the backfield and in slot receiving formations. My Long-Term Sleeper of the 2021 Class: Ihmir Smith-Marsette should be considered the lead candidate to fill both Minnesota's open spot at kick returner and WR3 this year. Side note: If my hometown Patriots were to trade up in the first round to pick a quarterback, as our own Anthony Staggs predicts in his Mock Draft, choosing Lance to develop for a short time behind a veteran acquisition like Ryan Fitzpatrick is the stuff of dreams, or potentially nightmares for nearly anyone who didn't grow up in the New England area. Brown's production on an absurdly high average depth of target could drive him up NFL Draft boards and make his rookie ADP look rather silly. It's certainly possible Aaron Rodgers forces a trade out of Green Bay or sits out his age-37 season, but count me among those who believe he'll be starting for the Packers come September 12th. However, he lands on a team with a massive need at wide receiver and will be a fantasy contributor from Week 1. 4.04) T. Tremble TE CAR Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video: Our goal is to put out the highest-quality content and tools. I'm a bit gun shy after falling for N'Keal Harry in 2019another separation-averse receiver who at least had first-round NFL Draft capital. Neither Newman nor Book are likely to become anything, but Newman is the better player, and his path to starts is just as good as the Notre Dame grad. Trevor Lawrence is a safer selection in that it's a near-certainty he'll be starting for the Jaguars in Week 1, there's far more college tape on which to evaluate him than there is for Lance, and Lawrence is one of the most highly-regarded quarterback prospects since Andrew Luck. Rookie drafts are rolling in from the Dynasty Football World Championship so we are . Enjoy Startup Draft Advanced ADP! . Managers in this format can get desperate for QB depth, and that desperation will force reserve passers with no immediate fantasy value (Kyle Trask and Kellen Mond) ahead of position players who have a much clearer path to fantasy relevance. Both, This is the easiest pick of the entire draft. Shi Smith is another undersized but fast wide receiver prospect destined for duties in the slot. Fields talent is undeniable, and he could be a top-six QB in dynasty formats in a very short time. No qualms here. The current superflex startup Average Draft Position (ADP) available at Dynasty League Football includes 2021 rookie players, but a startup draft prior to the 2021 NFL Draft is highly. Gainwell may be destined for more of a complementary role in the NFL, but the same could be said for Michael Carter to some extentand he doesn't have Hubbard's senior year stat-depression. Superflex Rookie Dynasty ADP. When Gordon is gone, Williams combination of talent and opportunity should make him a far more valuable fantasy asset than Etienne or Waddle. Andrew grew up in Dover, Massachusetts and currently resides in Los Angeles. Rookie ADP is the Average Draft Position for players in fantasy football rookie drafts. He is an explosive runner with a great release. I don't even care that it was against Kent State, that's pure insanity. I haven't looked into Kellen Mond's production enough to feel like I have something definitive to say about his prospects, but his rushing production is notable, and you can do far worse in Superflex rookie drafts than targeting quarterbacks with rushing upside. I ran a post-NFL Draft Superflex dynasty rookie mock draft where I'll be looking at the changing values from that first Superflex mock in March compared to the more recent mock in May. 12 in the NFL Draft, 9) Travis Etienne (RB2 Jacksonville Jaguars), Heading into the NFL Draft, it was a coin flip between, 10) Mac Jones (QB5 New England Patriots). The knocks against him include his size (5-foot-10, 205 pounds) and his reduced rushing totals in 2020, but the upside of his all-around skillset and big-play potential outweigh the minor flaws in his prospect profile. Soooo, Riley Ferguson is not a rookie, he was a 2018 quarterback prospect out of Memphis. Thanks for the response! 1.02) T. Lance QB SF 3.01) C. Hubbard RB CAR 5.09) J. Jefferson RB DET Shawn Siegele breaks down Round 3 of a 2021 superflex dynasty startup and explains why this is where you'll win or lose your draft. Travis Etienne is a superb prospect who checks the elusiveness box that's so near and dear to my heart with a king-sized Sharpie, and the receiving skills he showed in his senior year further solidify his stock. Etienne will be the lead back for the Jaguars and the primary passing option vaulting him to the RB2 in this 2021 dynasty rookie mock draft. NFL rumors and mock drafts gave us some idea about where in the draft these prospects were likely to be selected. Justin Fields also happens to check a lot of those other boxes (pocket mobility, deep-ball aggressiveness, rushing prowess), but most importantly, he's one of the most accurate quarterback prospects the analysts at Pro Football Focus (PFF) have ever charted, and this is reflected in his absurd 2019 ratio of 51 touchdowns to just three interceptions in 2019. George: "I have a type at wide receiver with Atwell a poor mans version of Elijah Moore. Thats why many fantasy managers are selecting him after Travis Etienne, DeVonta Smith, and Jaylen Waddle in their Rookie Drafts. The landing spot is a perfect fit. This is the easiest pick of the entire draft. The Curious Case of Javonte Williams: People are understandably concerned when a talented runner like Javonte Williams joins a team with an iffy offensive line and an established running back (Melvin Gordon). Our ADP Consensus consists of draft values across the most popular sites. We've already covered what a rookie draft might look like for those in non-Superflex leagues - check out that article right here. A little risk here, but worth it with the no-brainers off the table. That is the approximate order they will come off the board, just understand that rookie QBs will have slightly more value. Jacksonville still doesn't appear to have an answer at either tackle spot, though, and Lawrence's receiving corps in Jacksonville isn't as deep as Lance's in San Francisco. Welcome to the late-fourth-round of a fantasy rookie draft. Nwangwu's eye-popping athleticism is intriguing and may have been enough for the Vikings to de-emphasize the fact he had just 143 total carries at Iowa State across four seasons, but his draft capital combined with his measurables justifies a shot here. He was an anti-sports punk-rock-listening skateboarding nerd until he left his hometown in 1995, and then took a hard left turn into sports fandom borne from a need to represent his home state after moving to New York. His upside screams playmaker like Patrick Mahomes. Smith forms an incredibly explosive tandem with 2020 first-round pick Jalen Reagor. Javonte Williams is an interesting non-mover in that his early-March value at 1.09 as the third running back taken reflected his college production, size and the hope he would land with a team that would use him as a three-down back. The only concern is James Robinson. George: "I dont envision Jones falling this far in Superflex drafts after the NFL Draft but Im happy to scoop him up here. The next step on the, 1) Trevor Lawrence (QB1 Jacksonville Jaguars), 2) Trey Lance (QB2 San Francisco 49ers), Honestly, all 2021 rookie drafts begin here at pick No. All I can say is good luck to the NFC South stopping the Falcons offense. It's 6 points per pass TD and also full-PPR scoring. Justin: "Carter is unlikely to ever find a bell-cow role at the professional level but depending on landing spot, his receiving skills and elusiveness could be exploited for very useful fantasy outputs.". Those playing in Superflex leagues should have a much more exciting experience with this 2021 class. Pat: "Is he a running back or a wide receiver? He is a big-bodied wideout with great athleticism and field-stretching ability. Kyler Murray Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections, and Rankings, CeeDee Lamb Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections, and Rankings, Javonte Williams Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections, and Rankings, Aaron Jones Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections, and Rankings, AJ Dillon Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections, and Rankings. Superflex / .5 PPR Values updated 13 minutes ago Hover over players for more info All Players | Rookie QBs | Rookie RBs | Rookie WRs | Rookie TEs Generally, data from Sunday's games will be available early Tuesday . Ultimately for me, Lance slots in ahead of Wilson as the QB3 for fantasy due to his dual-threat Konami-code upside. ADP: Average Draft Position (ADP) is a list of NFL players ordered by their average position taken in fantasy football drafts. 2.12) N. Collins WR HOU, Round 3 Dynasty; About Author . Here is where draft order and the format making its presence felt. It serves as a useful draft prep tool for understanding how players are valued. If Carter can land on a team that leans on their backfield as an extension of the passing game, he could really shine as a fantasy asset. He is a great target here. Jordan certainly has the size and production to represent upside at the position, but he's less of a sure-thing as a receiver than Kyle Pitts, and in a non-TE-premium league, I'm a little more risk-averse early in the second and would probably lean toward one of the WRs available here.
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